Dear Friends and Colleagues,
A number of people have asked me to clarify my views concerning string
theory, as discussed in my recent book, The Trouble with Physics. I am
happy to do so as there has been some misquotation and misattributions
of my views, which do not reflect a reading of what the book
actually says. Indeed, most readers and most reviewers have
said they find TTWP balanced, accurate and reasonable. Some
readers, including several physics students, have told me that reading
TTWP increased their interest in string theory. But a small
number of people have attributed views to me that are far more negative
towards string theory than my actual views, as expressed in my three
books and other writings. This is disturbing for
me, because I consider many string theorists to be friends, and
also because I would prefer to spend my time in a constructive debate
over what the book actually says rather than responding to criticism
based on distortions of the book’s content. I worked
hard to write a book that was fair, accurate and constructive and I
have been uncomfortable that some of the discussion has focuses on
issues other than the actual text of what I wrote.
Let me start by saying that I do not think and do not write that that
research on string theory should cease or that string theorists should
no longer be funded or hired. As I say in Chapter 12:
“String theory succeeds at enough things so that it is reasonable
to hope that parts of it, or perhaps something like it, might comprise
some future theory. So string theory is certainly among the
directions that deserve more investigation.” So I am not
“against string theory” and any interpretation of my book
as an “attack on string theory” is a misreading1 .
I would have thought that the record of my interest in string theory is
clear. I have always strongly supported, and, in some cases, led
efforts to hire string theorists. I taught a graduate course in string
theory and mentored students and postdocs working in it. I have written
myself 18 technical papers in the subject, the last of which was in
2005 and I continue to have work in progress in string theory. I
would not have written these papers, or three books largely devoted to
analyzing problems it faces if I did not believe it had a reasonable
chance to be part of the truth about nature. Among the people who
work on non-string approaches to quantum gravity, I have made over the
years the most substantial investment of time and work in string
theory. Indeed, given that I have worked on different
approaches to quantum gravity throughout my career, I have always had
the view that the division of people working on quantum gravity into
separate communities based on the approach they take is artificial and
counterproductive scientifically.
So what is my book against, and what is it for? TTWP is
certainly critical of the view that we know enough about string theory
and its alternatives to elevate it above other approaches as “the
only game in town” or “the dominant paradigm in theoretical
physics.” My book defends a view in which string theory is
one of several promising approaches towards unification and
quantum gravity. Thus, TTWP argues that progress in
fundamental physics will be much helped by a more reflective and
diverse atmosphere which embraces the full range of ideas
and approaches, including string theory, that exist in the field.
More specifically, my book has several aims, which are as follows:
- To give a constructive analysis of the present situation in
fundamental physics, in order to better understand how best to
proceed from here. To me the present situation is a puzzle: we
have a theory of unification and quantum gravity with great promise and
yet it appears we are unable to make falsifiable predictions for doable
experiments. Thus, in Part II I give as much space to
establishing the reasons for enthusiasm about string theory as I do to
detailing open issues and unsolved problems. To gain a basis for
understanding the present situation, I examine the historical and
philosophical roots of the search for a unified theory. For me,
key sections of the book are the historical chapters in Part I
and the chapter on methodology of science (17) because they provide
perspectives against which to evaluate the present situation.
- To propose a solution to the questions of what science is and why it is successful.
- To propose a solution to the sociological puzzle of why it is
that we have different approaches to the problem of quantum gravity
being pursued by distinct communities which have little communication
between them.
- To address the claims made since 2003, in response to the
landscape, that the criteria of falsification is too strict or
can be replaced by the anthropic principle.
- To describe several recent experimental and theoretical
developments that show promise of resolving the current crisis by
bridging the gap between theory and experiment. This is the aim
of Part III.
- To discuss some sociological issues in contemporary academic
science which I argue are slowing the progress of science, and to
propose solutions to them. This is the aim of Part IV.
I hope two things are clear from this. First, my attitude towards
string theory is that it is deeply promising, while being at the same
time presently in crisis. My aim in writing this book was not to
publicize this crisis-several journalists told me this was an old
story, already covered for example by Leonard Susskind’s recent
book and articles in newspapers and magazines in 2004 and 2005.
It was to try to understand the roots of the crisis in order to help us
get out of it. Second, the historical and philosophical chapters
of the book are central to all of its aims, so the book cannot be
understood without following the argument through those chapters. For
example, I argue it is important, in understanding the landscape
problem, to know how it was anticipated in early work on higher
dimensional unification.
The core argument of the book is that there are five key problems which
must be solved to complete the revolution in physics begun by
Einstein-which remain unsolved. I try to understand why they are
so hard to solve while trying to find out how best to proceed to solve
them. String theory plays a prominent role because it is
the best developed and most widely studied approach to these problems,
but the fact that these problems remain unsolved challenges the whole
field.
With regard to string theory, the issues I discuss are not new and my
views on them should not be surprising to people who know my work or
previous writings.
- The issue of the lack of predictability due to the landscape of solutions.
- The need for-and lack of-a manifestly background independent formulation.
- The frustrating situation that despite much very good work we
still don’t have a proof of key conjectures including
perturbative finiteness, S duality and the Maldacena conjecture.
Let us take them one at a time. The landscape issue is one I have
already published on extensively, having been one of the first,
if not the first, to recognize the problem and try to think it
through. It was the subject of my first book, The Life of the
Cosmos (1997), and related papers (where the landscape of
theories was first introduced). My view as been since the early 90s
that, if the landscape, if it is real, represents a challenge that can
only be successfully met by finding a way to nevertheless make
falsifiable predictions (Thus, I am proud to have been called a
Popperazzi!). This can, I argue in detail, best be achieved
through a cosmological scenario that creates a highly non-random
ensemble, and hence non-trivial correlations and
predictions.
Also in my first book I explained how the landscape issue is related to
the need for a manifestly background independent theory, and argue that
it can in the long run only be solved by the construction of such a
theory. In TTWP as well as in previous books and papers I
also explain why, in any case, a fundamental theory of quantum gravity
must be manifestly background independent2. Some
of these arguments are very old, and were given by Leibniz, Mach
and Einstein, as well as more recently by Barbour, Stachel, Rovelli and
others.
Some string theorists respond that, if the Maldacena conjecture is true
in its strong form, it already gives an example of a partly, or weakly,
background independent theory, in that the geometry of six extra
dimension would be emergent from a theory with three dimensions of
space. I do acknowledge this in the book, on page3
189 and again on page 240. At the same time, as I go on to
explain, this does not realize the full meaning of background
independence as set out in the arguments of the people mentioned above.
This is because the full notion of background independence
requires that the basic laws can refer to no classical metric or
fields, and can involve no global symmetries. This is not a
debating point, it is fundamental to the reasons why it is argued
that a quantum theory of gravity must be background
independent.
The fact is that many workers in quantum gravity are convinced by the
need for a manifestly background independent theory. This includes some
string theorists (for example, Brian Greene, as he explains in
his second book.) Indeed, a number of people have tried to
construct a manifestly background independent formulation of string
theory and there are interesting proposals that could be developed.
This is where I have invested several years of work and the goal of my
second book, Three Roads, was to argue for this.
But most people who believe in background independence have pursued it
through the study of theories that manifestly have that property.
These include causal dynamical triangulations, loop quantum gravity,
spin foam models, causal set models, and some aspects of
non-commutative geometry (as envisioned by Connes.). The
fact is that there has been a lot of progress in these directions the
last six years. String theorists do not help their case by
ignoring or minimizing these developments. One reason is
that background independence may be the key to resolving the
problems faced by string theory. If so, then string theory
and the manifestly background independent approaches are not
competitors, they are complementary. Both are then necessary
steps on the way to the next correct theory, which implies that
practitioners of each have a lot to learn from the other. This
was in fact the theme of my second book, Three Roads.
With regard to the third point about the unresolved conjectures, my aim
is not to argue that they are false. I don’t know if they are
true or not. My point was that too easy belief in unproven
conjectures in any field hurts that field, because it reduces the need
to concentrate on proving them. I was also concerned about
the logic of arguments that take the existence of a fundamental
formulation of string theory for granted, rather than evaluating the
evidence for that conjecture So my argument here also is
not “anti-string,” it is just anti - taking these
conjectures for granted, rather than working hard to resolve
them. If we simply assume they are true we will miss
important insights to be gained by proving them, and we also take on
unnecessary risk because it is always possible not all are true.
In part III of the book, I emphasize there are a number of experiments
in preparation that will test key ideas in contemporary theoretical
physics, including supersymmetry, higher dimensions, quantum cosmology
models and modifications of special relativity. These experiments
include the LHC, the proposed ILC, AUGER, GLAST, future CMB
observations and others. The fact that these experiments are in
progress provides firm evidence that fundamental physics is healthy and
the long period in which important ideas went untested in now coming to
and end. This is why TTWP concludes optimistically.
I hope it is clear from this summary why I insist that my book is not
an “attack on string theory.” I discuss the
open problems we face, not to attack the theory but to make a
constructive contribution by analyzing the historical and philosophical
roots of the issues. I also present proposals about what we must do to
resolve the current problems, having to do with both background
independence and how the landscape issues are to be resolved. Of
course not everyone will agree with these views, but if they want to
criticize my book they should at least try to understand the arguments
made for the book’s conclusions and respond by finding fault with
them.
There are a few criticisms made of the book that appear to come from
people who have not read it. For example, I have heard it said that I
fail to emphasize that string theory has had an important impact on
other fields, especially pure mathematics and gauge theories. But
I do. To quote from p 177, “No one disputes that a lot of good
mathematics has come out of string theory and that our understanding of
some gauge theories has been deepened. But the usefulness of spin-offs
for mathematics or other areas of physics is not evidence either for or
against the correctness of string theory as a scientific
theory.” So while I do mention these spin offs
I do not see how they can be decisive for the question of whether or
not string theory succeeds as a fundamental theory of
nature.
Some have suggested I could in this vein mention the very recent
applications of string theory to heavy ion physics. I am happy to
do this and will incorporate this in future editions.
Let me now turn to the sociological and philosophical issues discussed
in the book. A major theme of TTWP is that in situations where we
face major unsolved problems, it is wise to foster a diversity of
approaches by good scientists towards them. This means that we
encourage and welcome people to invent and pursue a wide range of
approaches.
The reason I advocate this view is that I am convinced it is crucial
for the health of science generally. I give several reasons in support
of this view. Some are philosophical and, as discussed briefly in
Chapter 17, have their source in work of philosophers such as
Feyerabend and Popper. Other reasons are based on
historical and contemporary episodes, which are detailed in the
book. Still other reasons follow from an acknowledgement
that this kind of research is risky; these can be best expressed in
economic terms. Successful investment bankers do not have a
simple view of the market which leads them just to invest in the most
popular instruments, they have instead a sophisticated view of
risk that leads them to diversify risk by hedging their
investments. I also argue that having people around with
different and competing points of view makes us all work harder and
more honestly, while it stimulates us and provides us with a continuous
source of new ideas, questions and viewpoints. Thus, I argue that
any research program progresses faster when it is pursued with in the
context of a broad and diverse community which includes competing ideas
and directions.
I do believe that these issues are relevant for the questions facing
string theory. I argue from historical cases
that the progress of research in string theory has been hurt by
too narrow of a research agenda, disinterest in developments in
alternative and competing research programs and too strict an
identification of who is and who is not part of the community of people
worth paying attention to. These include the role of
11dimensional supersymmetry, membranes and the landscape issue, all of
which came eventually to be appreciated as keys to string theory, after
long periods of being ignored. I also argue that part of the
reason for the difficulties faced by string theory and other approaches
to fundamental physics is their reliance on too pragmatic a research
style and that an essential contribution is to be made by scientists
who work more in the style of Einstein and Bohr, which emphasizes
foundational questions and their connections to old philosophical
puzzles.
But, in case it needs to be said, criticism of the sociology of a
research community does not contradict a belief in the promise of the
theory itself. It also appears that these sociological
issues affect other areas of contemporary science. I have heard and
read statements of concern about them from colleagues in other fields
such as biology, computer science and economics. In
physics, I suspect that they have been with us for a long time, but
they become more significant in periods and fields which lack a close
coupling between theory and experiment.
For this reason, an important part of the book are the proposals it
makes for how to resolve these sociological issues. These develop ideas
I first put forwards in essays in New Scientist and Physics
Today. The proposals I make about them are not specific to string
theory, they are meant generally; I argue that they would improve the
rate of progress in many fields.
An example of the kind of proposal I endorse is to set up
“venture capital” funds in science to support new ideas and
emerging fields which may not yet have strong institutional support4
. The effective of this should be to increase the diversity of
approaches investigated to key unsolved problems. I also argue
that young scientists should be funded and hired based on their promise
as future leaders, rather than because they do good incremental work on
established problems. I argue that these proposals would benefit all
approaches, because any research program, including string theory, will
make the most progress, when its practitioners are embedded
within a community that includes a diverse range of approaches to the
important unsolved problems.
This brings me to issues about funding and resources. In
the book I do argue that other approaches to quantum gravity as well as
foundations of quantum theory are under-supported. I make
this case on the basis of recent results in these fields, which I argue
strongly justifies support for those responsible for these results, as
well as on the general argument for diversity of approaches. But to
argue that those who work fundamental physics apart from string theory
should not pay a price in career opportunities is not the same as
saying that funding for string theory should be cut. For one thing
supporting fully the small number of people in the field of quantum
gravity would not seriously perturb funding priorities in high energy
theory, which is a much larger community.
But, my main point is that it benefits the whole field when young
scientists compete on an even playing field, based on their promise and
contributions, according to criteria that reward originality and
intellectual independence over incremental contributions to established
directions. For one thing it means that young scientists make
their decisions about which fields and research programs to contribute
to based on their independent analysis of the promise of different
approaches, and not because making one choice over another would
strongly improve their career opportunities. Science, I argue,
progresses fastest when all scientists feel free to work on directions
they think are most promising. In case it needs to be said, in
practice I apply this as much to people working in quantum gravity and
foundations of quantum theory as I do to string theory.
I also argue that room should be made in the academic world for the
small number of deep thinkers whose work consists of probing the deep
problems in the definition of space-time or the foundations of quantum
theory. I argue by example that these very independent thinkers
make contributions to the solutions of fundamental problems of the kind
needed to help us resolve the issues we presently face.
There are so few such people, and their contributions have over time
proved so essential, I find it difficult to understand how initiatives
to support them could be controversial.
In closing, let me say two things. First, as I describe in my
book, there are strong arguments coming from the history and philosophy
of science that controversy and disagreement among experts about key
unsolved problems is not only a sign of health in science, it is
necessary to the processes by which science makes progress. So
the fact that there is a debate about issues such as the landscape,
background independence, higher dimensions etc is a sign that
fundamental theoretical physics is healthy. It is a
very good sign, indeed, that not only is there debate, there are
competing research programs which explore different possible directions
for the next big unification in physics.
Second, in spite of these signs of health, and the upcoming
experimental tests of competing ideas, the support for fundamental
theoretical physics in the United States, coming from public and
private foundations, is far from generous. The result is that
some of the very brightest scientists on the planet, both newcomers
and accomplished scientists, are competing for ever scarcer
resources. This is especially unfortunate given the fact that the
level of talent and enthusiasm of young scientists entering theoretical
physics has never been higher. Given the key role that
fundamental science plays in economic development, and the challenges
from China, Europe and elsewhere to North American leadership in
science and technology, this is a time when the facts justify large
increases in support for fundamental physics.
Sincerely yours,
Lee Smolin
_________
1 Some people seem to have gotten this impression, not from my
book, but from the cover, publicity materials or things said in
reviews. I was surprised that the cover would become
an issue, certainly it was more provocative than it would have been had
I had control over it. I am sorry about this. But at the same
time, it is just a cover and I would hope that people interested
in what the book has to say would read it. The fact
that authors do not always have control over cover and
advertising copy, and how we are quoted by journalists, raises issues
that would be interesting to discuss, but I would ask that we be
fair and discuss them in the context of how all the books on this
subject were portrayed and presented. But this is not the subject
of this letter, which concerns the text that I wrote.
2 The use of “manifestly” here was suggested by Brian
Greene to distinguish the form of background independence long
advocated by people in quantum gravity from the weaker, partial form
relevant for AdS/CFT. I am happy to adopt it for emphasis, but to
avoid muddying the scientific issue it seems easier to let the
words “background independence” continue to refer to what
they always have and introduce a new phrase “weak
background independence” for the new version relevant for
AdS/CFT.
3 Here are the quotes: On page 189: ”…if the strong
form of the Maldacena conjecture turns out to be true — which is
also consistent with the present evidence — then string theory
provides good quantum theories of gravity, in the special case of
backgrounds with a negative cosmological constant. Moreover, those
theories would be partly background-independent, in that a
nine-dimensional space is generated from physics in a three-dimensional
space.…There is other evidence that string theory can provide a
unification of gravity with quantum theory…”
On page 240 I repeated the point: “In a certain limited
sense, if the strong form of the Maldacena conjecture (see chapter 9)
turns out to be true, a nine-dimensional geometry will emerge out of a
fixed three-dimensional geometry. It is thus not surprising to hear
Edward Witten say, as he did in a recent talk at the Kavli Institute
for Theoretical Physics at UC Santa Barbara, that “most string
theorists suspect that spacetime is an ‘emergent
phenomenon,’ in the language of condensed matter
physics...”
4 This proposal has been developed by Eric Weinstein, from whom I
have learned a lot about the application of economic methods to the
issues raised in the book.